Prediction markets betting on Gemini 3.5 Pro launch within two weeks
Benzinga·
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Close, Aug 6, 2026
Google has not announced an official launch date for its Gemini 3.5 Pro model, the flagship reasoning model designed to compete with OpenAI's ChatGPT and Anthropic's Claude. Prediction markets are actively betting on the release timing, with over $320,000 wagered on the contract for Gemini 3.5 Pro's launch date. Markets are pricing in a 46% probability of release before August 16, 63% before August 21, and 76% before August 31. The Gemini 3.5 Pro has faced reported delays as engineers work to improve model capabilities, particularly in coding. Google is scheduled to host its Made by Google event on August 12 in New York to launch its Pixel 11 series.
- Google has not publicly announced a launch date for Gemini 3.5 Pro.
- Over $320,000 has been wagered on prediction market contracts for the Gemini 3.5 Pro launch date.
- Prediction market odds: 46% probability of release before August 16, 63% before August 21, 76% before August 31.
- Google scheduled Made by Google event for August 12 in New York City for Pixel 11 launch.
- Earlier reports indicated Google was running months behind on Gemini 3.5 Pro due to engineers improving model capabilities in coding.
Sources
- Benzinga · Aug 6, 2026